Publications by East Asia Nonproliferation Program Staff

Articles

• Masako Toki and Stephanie Lieggi, Japan Balances Trade and Nuke Proliferation, The Asia Times.
• Daniel A. Pinkston and Leonard S. Spector, Six-Parties Adopt Steps for North Korean Denuclearization But Uranium Enrichment Controversy Looms as Major Obstacle, WMD Insights.
• Daniel A. Pinkston and Kazutaka Sakurai, "Japan Debates Preparing for Future Preemptive Strikes against North Korea," The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, Vol. 18, No. 4, Winter 2006, pp. 95-121.
• Dave H. Kim, "Critique of the Criticism Against the Beijing Accord," The Chosun Ilbo, March 19, 2007.
• Andrew Diamond, "Dying with Eyes Open or Closed: The Debate over a Chinese Aircraft Carrier", The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, Vol. XVIII, No. 1, Spring 2006.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "The Bush Doctrine in Asia: Chinese Perspectives and Responses," Asian Perspective (January 2004), forthcoming.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "China and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization: Anti-Terrorism and Beijing's Central Asia Policy," Politologiske Studier (September 2003), forthcoming.
• Daniel A. Pinkston and Phillip C. Saunders, "Seeing North Korea Clearly: Barriers to a Better U.S. Korea Policy," Survival, 45 (August 2003), pp. 79-102.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Friend or Foe? The Bush Administration and U.S. China Policy in Transition," East Asian Review, 15 (Autumn 2003), pp. 1-26
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Chinese Responses to U.S. Missile Defenses: Implications for Arms Control and Regional Security," The Nonproliferation Review, 10 (Spring 2003), pp. 75-96.
• Phillip C. Saunders, "Confronting Ambiguity: How to Handle North Korea's Nuclear Program," Arms Control Today, 33 (March 2003), pp. 11-15.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Sino-U.S. Military Relations Since Tiananmen: Restoration, Progress, and Pitfalls," Parameters, 33 (Spring 2003), pp. 51-67.
• Phillip C. Saunders, Jing-dong Yuan and Stephanie Lieggi, "Recent Developments in China's Export Controls: New Regulations and New Challenges," The Nonproliferation Review, 9 (Fall-Winter 2002), pp. 153-167.
• Bonnie S. Glaser and Phillip C. Saunders, "Chinese Civilian Foreign Policy Research Institutes: Evolving Roles and Increasing Influence," China Quarterly, 171 (September 2002), pp. 601-620.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "The Future of Export Controls: Developing New Strategies for Nonproliferation," International Politics, 39 (June 2002), pp. 131-151.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "The Evolution of Chinese Nonproliferation Policy since the end of the Cold War: Progress, Problems and Prospects," Journal of Contemporary China, 11 (May 2002), pp. 209-233.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "India's Rise after Pokhran-II: Chinese Analyses and Assessments," Asian Survey, 41 (November/December 2001), pp. 978-1001.
• Phillip C. Saunders, "New Approaches to Nonproliferation: Supplementing or Supplanting the Regime?" The Nonproliferation Review, 8 (Fall-Winter 2001), pp. 123-136.
• Phillip C. Saunders, "Chinese Views of its Military Modernization," in Summary Report: U.S.-Japan Meeting on Arms Control, Disarmament, Non-Proliferations, and Verifications, (Tokyo, Japan, October 20-21, 2001), pp. 54-58.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Regional Institutions and Co-operative Security: Chinese Approaches and Policies," Korean Journal of Defence Analysis 13 (Autumn 2001), pp. 263-294.
• Jing-dong Yuan and Waheguru Pal Singh Sidhu, "China and India: Building Confidence Through Cooperative Monitoring," Asian Survey, 41 (March/April 2001), pp. 351-376.
• Evan S. Medeiros, "Rebuilding Bilateral Consensus: Assessing US-China Arms Control and Nonproliferation Achievements," The Nonproliferation Review, 8 (Spring 2001).
• Evan S. Medeiros and Jing-dong Yuan, "A US military presence in Asia: offshore balancer or local sheriff?" Jane's Intelligence Review, (January 2001).
• Phillip C. Saunders, "Chinese Think-tanks: Pathways to Policy Influence," in China's Think Tanks: Windows on a Changing China, proceedings of U.S. government conference, (Rosslyn, Virginia, November 3, 2000).
• Evan S. Medeiros, "Through a Red Glass Darkly," Far Eastern Economic Review, (November 9, 2000), p. 36.
• Paul H. B. Godwin and Evan S. Medeiros, "China, America, and Missile Defense: Conflicting National Interests," Current History, (September 2000), pp. 285-89.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Jing-dong Yuan, "China's Strategic Force Modernization: Issues and Implications for the United States," in Michael Barletta, ed., Proliferation Challenges and Nonproliferation Opportunities for New Administrations. Occasional Paper No. 4 (Monterey, California: Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies, September 2000), pp. 40-46.
• Evan S. Medeiros, "Stand Down: Reforming China's Military Industrial Complex," Chinaonline.com, (July 18, 2000).
• Bates Gill and Evan S. Medeiros, "Foreign and Domestic Influences on China: Arms Control and Nonproliferation Policies," (PDF format, 459k) China Quarterly 161 (March 2000), pp. 66-94.
• Evan S. Medeiros, "US-China Relations: Comparative Security and Foreign Policy Processes, A Report on a Project of the National Committee on US-China Relations," National Committee on US-China Relations, China Policy Series, 16 (March 2000).
• Phillip C. Saunders, "China's America Watchers: Changing Attitudes toward the United States," China Quarterly, 161 (March 2000), pp. 41-65.
• Evan S. Medeiros, "The Changing Character of China's WMD Proliferation Activities," in Robert Sutter, ed., China and Weapons of Mass Destruction, Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress (Spring 2000).
• Evan S. Medeiros, "China, Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and the 'China Threat' Debate," Issues and Studies, (January/February 2000).
• Phillip C. Saunders, "Supping with a Long Spoon: Dependence and Interdependence in Sino-American Relations," China Journal, 43 (January 2000), pp. 55-81.
• Evan S. Medeiros, "Northeast Asia 1999: Current Threats to Nonproliferation Regimes," in Michael Barletta and Amy Sands, eds., Nonproliferation Regimes At Risk, Occasional Paper No. 3, (November 1999).
• Phillip C. Saunders, "A 'Virtual Alliance' for Asian Security," Orbis, 43 (Spring 1999), pp. 237-256.
• Phillip C. Saunders, Roger Cliff, and Daniel Byman, "US Policy Options Toward an Emerging China," Pacific Review, 12 (1999) pp. 421-451.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Erica Strecker Downs, "Legitimacy and the Limits of Nationalism: China and the Diaoyu Islands," International Security, 23 (Winter 1998/1999), pp. 114-146.

Book Chapters

• Phillip C. Saunders, "U.S.-China Relations in a Changing Nuclear Environment," in Jonathan D. Pollack, ed., Sino-American Strategic Dynamics in the Early 21st Century: Prospects, Scenarios, and Implications (Newport: Naval War College Press, 2003). Forthcoming.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Foe or Friend? Chinese Assessments of a Rising India after Pokhran II," in Lowell Dittmer, ed., South Asia's Nuclear Dilemma (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, Inc.). Forthcoming.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "China's Pragmatic Approach to Nonproliferation Policy in the Post-Cold War Era," in Suisheng Zhao, ed., Chinese Foreign Policy: Pragmatism and Strategic Behavior (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, Inc., 2003). Forthcoming.
• Charles Ferguson, Evan S. Medeiros, and Phillip C. Saunders, "Chinese Tactical Nuclear Weapons," in Alistair Millar and Brian Miller, eds., Tactical Nuclear Weapons: Emergent Threats in an Evolving Security Environment (London: Brassey's, 2003).
• Jing-dong Yuan and Tsuneo Akaha, "Messegi_Seijukushita Nicchu-kankei Juritsu e" (Toward the establishment of a mature Japan-China relationship), in Shigeaki Uno, ed., Hokuto-ajia ni okeru Chugoku to Nihon no Yakuwari (China and Japan in Northeast Asia), Tokyo: Kokusai Shobo, 2003, pp. 18-21. (Translated from the original English into Japanese by Akaha)
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Chinese Perspectives on Multilateralism: Implications for Cooperative Security in Asia Pacific," in Stuart S. Nagel, ed., Policymaking and Peace: A Multinational Anthology (Lanham: Lexington Books, 2002).
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Confronting Missile Proliferation: Toward an Integrated Approach," in David Mutimer, ed., Canadian International Security Policy: Reflections for a New Era (Toronto: Centre for International and Security Studies, 2002), pp. 147-164.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Culture Matters: Chinese Approaches to Arms Control and Disarmament," in Keith Krause, ed., Culture and Security: Multilateralism, Arms Control and Security Building (London: Frank Cass, 1999), pp. 85-128.

Books and Monographs

• Jing-dong Yuan and W.P.S. Sidhu, China and India: Cooperation or Conflict? (Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2003).
• Phillip C. Saunders, ed., "A Chinese Reader From The Nonproliferation Review," (PDF format) A Chinese translation of selected Nonproliferation Review articles, (November 20, 2002).
• Jing-dong Yuan, The MTCR and Missile Nonproliferation: Moving Toward the Next Phase. (Ottawa: International Security Research and Outreach Program, Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade, Canada, May 2000).
• Jing-dong Yuan, Asia-Pacific Security: China's Conditional Multilateralism and Great Power Entente. (Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, January 2000).
• Evan S. Medeiros and Bates Gill, Chinese Arms Exports: Policy, Players, and Process (PDF format, 8.8 megabytes) (Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College, 2000).

Testimony

• Leonard S. Spector, Jing-dong Yuan, and Phillip C. Saunders, China's Proliferation Policies and Practices, Prepared Statement for the U.S.-China Security Review Commission, July 24, 2003.
• Jing-dong Yuan, Assessing Chinese Nonproliferation Policy: Progress, Problems and Issues for the United States, Prepared statement for the U.S.-China Security Review Commission, October 12, 2001.

Internet Publications

• Stephanie Lieggi, Proliferation Security Initiative Exercise Hosted by Japan Shows Growing Interest in Asia But No Sea Change in Key Outsider States, an article for WMD Insights, December 2007.
• Stephanie Lieggi and Masako Toki, The Mitutoyo Case: Will Japan Learn from its Mistakes or Repeat Them?, an issue brief for the Nuclear Threat Initiative, August 2007
• Erik R. Quam and James Clay Moltz, Asian Approaches to Space Security, CNS Research Story, 10 May 2007.
• Zhou Jiangong and Jing-dong Yuan, "A Currency to Fight For," Asia Times Online, June 16, 2007.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "The Dragon and the Elephant: Chinese-Indian Relations in the 21st Century," Washington Quarterly Summer 2007 issue, June 12, 2007. [PDF format]
• The North Korean Nuclear Test: Regional and International Implications, a recent CNS Research Story.
• Daniel A. Pinkston, "North Korea's Nuclear Weapons Program and the Six-party Talks," Nuclear Threat Initiative Issue Brief, May 2006.
• Monte Bullard, "Strait Talk: Avoiding a Nuclear War Between the U.S. and China Over Taiwan," E-book.
• Phillip C. Saunders, "What to Expect from the Six-Party Talks on the Korean Nuclear Crisis," Center for Nonproliferation Studies Research Story of the Week, August 25, 2003.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Stephanie C. Lieggi, "What's Behind U.S. Nonproliferation Sanctions Against Norinco?" Center for Nonproliferation Studies Research Story of the Week, May 30, 2003.
• Phillip C. Saunders, "Military Options for Dealing with North Korea's Nuclear Program," Center for Nonproliferation Studies Web report, (January 24, 2003).
• Jing-dong Yuan, "China and the North Korean Nuclear Crisis," Center for Nonproliferation Studies Web report, January 22, 2003.
• Phillip C. Saunders, "Assessing North Korea's Nuclear Intentions," Center for Nonproliferation Studies Web report, January 14, 2003.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Lora S. Saalman, "Taiwan's Response to China's Missile Buildup." Nuclear Threat Initiative Issue Brief, October 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Strengthening China's Export Control System," (PDF format) Center for Nonproliferation Studies Web report, October 4, 2002.
• Phillip C. Saunders, "Preliminary Analysis of Chinese Missile Technology Export Control List," (PDF format) Center for Nonproliferation Studies Web report, September 6, 2002.
• Phillip C. Saunders, Jing-dong Yuan, Stephanie Lieggi, and Angela Deters, "China's Space Capabilities and the Strategic Logic of Anti-Satellite Weapons," Center for Nonproliferation Studies Research Story of the Week, July 22, 2002.
• Phillip C. Saunders, "China Proliferation Overview." Nuclear Threat Initiative Country Overview, August 2001.
• Phillip C. Saunders, "Taiwan Proliferation Overview." Nuclear Threat Initiative Country Overview, July 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan and Evan S. Medeiros, "The U.S. Nuclear Posture Review and China's Responses," Center for Nonproliferation Studies Research Story of the Week, April 1, 2002.
• Phillip C. Saunders, "Can 9-11 Provide a Fresh Start for Sino-U.S. Relations?" Center for Nonproliferation Studies Web report, October 23, 2001.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Evan S. Medeiros, "Theater Missile Defense and Northeast Asian Security." Nuclear Threat Initiative Issue Brief, August 2001.

Conference Papers and Reports

• Phillip C. Saunders and Evan S. Medeiros, Building a Global Strategic Framework for the 21st Century. Report from the Fourth U.S.-China Conference on Arms Control, Disarmament, and Nonproliferation. (Monterey, Calif.: Center for Nonproliferation Studies, 2002).
• Jing-dong Yuan, The War on Terrorism: China's Opportunities and Dilemmas,
  (September 2001).
• Evan S. Medeiros, Rapporteur, Ballistic Missile Defense and Northeast Asian Security: Views from Washington, Beijing, and Tokyo, Center of Nonproliferation Studies and the Stanley Foundation (April 2001).
• Evan S. Medeiros, U.S.-China Arms Control and Nonproliferation Cooperation: Progress and Prospects. Report from the Third U.S.-China Conference on Arms Control, Disarmament, and Nonproliferation. (Monterey, Calif.: Center for Nonproliferation Studies, 2000).
• Monte Bullard, "Undiscussed Linkages: Implications of Taiwan Straits Security Activity on Global Arms Control and Nonproliferation," Paper for conference organized by the Center of East Asian and Pacific Studies, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, October 2000.
• Phillip C. Saunders, Project Strait Talk: Security and Stability in the Taiwan Strait, (Monterey, Calif.: Center for Nonproliferation Studies, May 2000).
• Evan S. Medeiros, "United States-China Relations: Comparative Security and Foreign Policy Processes," a delegation report published by the National Committee on United States-China Relations, China Policy Series No. 16 (March 2000).
• Missiles, Theater Missile Defenses, and Regional Stability. Report from the Second U.S.-China Conference on Arms Control, Disarmament, and Nonproliferation. (Monterey, Calif.: Center for Nonproliferation Studies, April 1999).
• Report from the First U.S.-China Conference on Arms Control, Disarmament and Nonproliferation (Monterey, Calif.: Center for Nonproliferation Studies, September 1998).
• Individuals, Institutions and Policies in the Chinese Nonproliferation and Arms Control Community, Monterey, California, November 1997.

Op-Eds

• Jing-dong Yuan, Beijing Keeps a Wary Eye on the Korean Peace Process, China Brief.
• Daniel A. Pinkston, Back to the Future: U.S. adopting familiar approach to continuing North Korean defiance, The Ripon Forum.
• Dave H. Kim, North Korean Speech to UN: All Rhetoric, The Korea Times.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Paulson in China: Tread softly, forget the big stick", Asia Times Online, December 13, 2006.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Japan-China Relations in a New Era," Taipei Times, October 11, 2006.
• Jing-Dong Yuan, "Lead with your brain, America," South China Morning Post, April 10, 2006.
• Andrew Diamond, "Buying energy, not bombs," South China Morning Post, April 10, 2006.
• Jing-Dong Yuan, "A turning point for Beijing," International Herald Tribune, September 2, 2003.
• Jing-Dong Yuan, "Six nations charting a course for peace on the Korean Peninsula," San Diego Union-Tribune, August 27, 2003.
• Jing-Dong Yuan, "Asian giants must find ways to get along," Straits Times (Singapore), August 14, 2003.
• Jing-Dong Yuan, "Anti-Terror Exercises Only a First Step," Moscow Times, August 14, 2003.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Jennifer Bulkeley "Security concerns strain relations," Taipei Times, Aug 12, 2003, p. 8.
• Stephanie Lieggi, "Why US sanctions won't stop China's missile exports," South China Morning Post, July 22, 2003.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Sino-Indian relations demonstrate signs of turning around," Taipei Times, July 5, 2003, p. 9.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Can China and India forge an Asian century?" South China Morning Post, June 26, 2003.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "China's army--a paper tiger or a threat?" South China Morning Post, June 5, 2003.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Will SARS be the catalyst for change in China?" Global Beat Syndicate, June 3, 2003.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Why China should rethink its approach to North Korea," South China Morning Post, May 29, 2003.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "China and the SCO: Regional Cooperation and Anti-Terrorism," CANCAPS Bulletin No.37, May, 2003, pp. 6-9.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "India and China - moving closer?" South China Morning Post, April 30, 2003.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Arms Control Bush-Style - Can It Work?" Straits Times, April 22, 2003.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Between a rock and a hard place," Taipei Times, April 11, 2003, p. 9.
• Phillip C. Saunders and William C. Potter, "Double Trouble," Nautilus Institute North Korea Policy Forum, April 4, 2003.
• Phillip C. Saunders and William C. Potter, "N. Korea Talks Are Imperative," San Jose Mercury News, March 18, 2003.
• Phillip C. Saunders, "High Risks, Limited Ability and Unpredictable Consequences," South China Morning Post, February 18, 2003.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Using Its Influence Behind the Scenes," South China Morning Post, February 11, 2003, p.16.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "North Korea Pushed into Nuclear Standoff," South China Morning Post, January 15, 2003, p.16.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Jing-dong Yuan, "Defusing Korean Crisis: China's chance to sharpen its diplomacy," Japan Times, January 12, 2003.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Jing-dong Yuan, "Korean Crisis Will Test Chinese Diplomacy," Asia Times, January 8, 2003.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Consolidating Chinese-Russian Relations," Moscow Times, Dec. 2, 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "A Promising Partnership Is Tested," International Herald Tribune, November 30, 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "After 40 years, it is time to seek answers to Sino-Indian frictions," South China Morning Post, October 30, 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Sino-U.S. Relations After Crawford," Korea Herald, October 28, 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Links must be nurtured to succeed," South China Morning Post, October 14, 2002.
• Jing-Dong Yuan, "Fifth Column: Beijing's Nonproliferation Record," Far Eastern Economic Review, October 3, 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "US vs. China: A New Cold War?" Asia Times, September 28, 2002.
• Tsuneo Akaha and Jing-dong Yuan, "Big powers can learn to get along," International Herald Tribune, September 27, 2002.
• Jing-Dong Yuan, "Trying to Make Sense of China's Iraq Policy," Taipei Times, September 26, 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Missile Export Controls Significant Step for Beijing," South China Morning Post, August 29, 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Assessing the Bush Administration's China Policy," CANCAPS Bulletin, No.34, August 2002, pp. 2-5.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Bush's Hawks Circle Over Policy," South China Morning Post, July 24, 2002.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Jing-dong Yuan, "Leaders' Final Test - Ceding Power," South China Morning Post, May 10, 2002.
• Monte Bullard, "No Room For Miscalculation Over Taiwan," Global Beat Syndicate, 28 March 2002.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Jing-dong Yuan, "Will Hu Really Govern China?" CSIS Pacific Forum Pacnet Newsletter #18, May 3, 2002.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Jing-dong Yuan, "Will China's Next Leaders Be Puppets of the Old Guard?," Los Angeles Times, April 30, 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "More credit due Bush's China trip," Taipei Times, March 11, 2002, p. 8.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "US Needs Pragmatic China Policy," Taipei Times, February 20, 2002, p. 8.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "A New Opportunity for Sino-US Relations," Asia Times Online, February 12, 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Sino-Indian Ties," The Hindu, January 31, 2002, p. 8.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Sino-Indian relations: a new beginning," Asia Times, January 19, 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "Bush's ABM Bombshell: The Fallout in Asia," Asia Times Online, January 7, 2002.
• Jing-dong Yuan, "The War on Terrorism: China's Opportunities and Dilemmas," CANCAPS Bulletin 31 (November 2001), pp.3-6. Also published in the Nautilus Institute Special Forum on the September 11 Attacks, September 26, 2001.
• Phillip C. Saunders and Evan S. Medeiros, "American and Chinese Strategists Ought to Sit Down and Talk," International Herald Tribune, 4 May 2001.
  Chinese Translation by Yu-hua Wang (Please view in GB code)
• Gaurav Kampani, Phillip Saunders and Jing-dong Yuan, "Lethal product launches," Telegraph, August 28, 2000.
• Phillip C. Saunders, Jing-dong Yuan, and Gaurav Kampani, "How and Why China Proliferates Ballistic Missile to Pakistan," Rediff.com (August 22, 2000).
• Phillip C. Saunders and Evan S. Medeiros, "Don't Push China on Proliferation," Los Angeles Times, 18 November 1999.

Book Reviews

• Phillip C. Saunders, review of Liu Xiaohong, Chinese Ambassadors: The Rise of Diplomatic Professionalism since 1949 in Political Science Quarterly, 117 (Winter 2002-03), pp. 709-10.
• Phillip C. Saunders, review of Hung-Mao Tien and Tun-jen Cheng, eds., The Security Environment in the Asia-Pacific in China Quarterly, 166 (June 2001), pp. 490-491.
• Jing-dong Yuan, review of Power Competition in East Asia: From the Old Chinese World Order to Post-Cold War Regional Multipolarity, by Suisheng Zhao, Pacific Affairs (Winter 1999/2000), pp. 571-572.

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