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Preventing Nuclear Meltdown: Managing Decentralization of Russia's Nuclear Complex
Presents insights into both nuclear safety issues and
post-Soviet intra-agency governance, as well as detailed case
studies of critical nuclear regions: the Far East, the Urals, Siberia,
and the Volga area. The volume also offers major new findings
on the interface linking Russia's evolving center-periphery
relations, its ailing nuclear facilities, and the role played by
foreign assistance providers.
By James Clay Moltz, Vladimir A. Orlov, and Adam N. Stulberg.
Created: November 11, 2004
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The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism
Warns that substandard security at nuclear facilities in Europe,
Central Asia, Russia, and Pakistan increases the risk of terrorists seizing
highly enriched uranium to make crude, but devastating, nuclear explosives.
By Charles D. Ferguson, William C. Potter, Amy Sands, Leonard S. Spector, and Fred L. Wehling.
Created: June 18, 2004
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Top
General
- Seizure of Uranium in Slovakia Produces Maelstrom of Exaggerated News Reports in International Media
A recent trafficking case on the Slovak-Hungarian border gains media attention despite little evidence of proliferation significant activity.
A CNS Feature Story by Alexander Melikishvili.
Created: December 21, 2007
- Recent Weapons Grade Uranium Smuggling Case: Nuclear Materials are Still on the Loose
Recent reports of the seizure of weapons-grade uranium from traffickers in Georgia raise concerns about poor cooperation against nuclear terrorism.
A CNS Research Story
Created: January 26, 2007
- Half Full or Half Empty? Realizing the Promise of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty
An article by Jean du Preez for Arms Control Today.
Created: December 6, 2006
- Lining Up to Enrich Uranium
An article by William Potter and Charles Ferguson for the International Herald Tribune.
Created: September 12, 2006
- Securing Nuclear Obsolescence [PDF format]
An article by Dennis M. Gormley for the journal Survival.
Created: August 31, 2006
- The Oslo Symposium: On The Road To HEU Minimization
The technical workshop concluded that HEU conversion is possible in most cases, that there are no future HEU needs, and current conversion programs have been quite successful. Policymakers, however, disagreed on a path forward, despite HEU terrorism threats and conversion desirability.
A CNS Research Story by Cristina Chuen and William Potter.
Created: August 22, 2006
- Edging Ever Closer to A Nuclear Death
An op-ed by Steve Andreasen and Dennis Gormley for the Minneapolis Star Tribune.
Created: April 26, 2006
- Despite Nuclear Terrorism Risks, Congress Relaxes HEU Export Controls
On July 29, 2005 Congress passed the Energy Policy Act of 2005, which includes provisions relaxing restrictions on HEU exports for medical isotope production.
A CNS Research Story
Created: August 4, 2005
- Reducing the Risk of Nuclear Terrorism: Decreasing the Availability of HEU
On April 25, the United Nations Security Council reaffirmed the danger of nuclear
terrorism, expressing its "'grave concern' at the risks posed by non-State actors who attempt
to develop, acquire, manufacture, possess, transport, transfer or use nuclear, chemical and
biological weapons and their means of delivery."
A CNS Research Story
Created: May 6, 2005
- 2002 WMD Terrorism Chronology: Incidents Involving Sub-National Actors and Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Materials (PDF format)
By Wayne Turnbull and Praveen Abhayaratne.
This chronology covers incidents worldwide involving criminal or ideological motivations, including hoaxes and pranks.
Created: August 15, 2003
- New Nuclear Weapons?
Will the United States produce newly designed nuclear weapons under the
Bush Administration? Over the next couple of years, the answer will likely be
"no." Recent activity, however, in Congress and the Administration
has raised concern that the prospect of new U.S. nuclear weapons has increased.
A CNS Research Story by Charles D. Ferguson and Peter D. Zimmerman.
Week of May 28, 2003
- Security Risks of Radioactive Material
Improving security arrangements for radioactive sources is an obvious step to take to reduce the risk of sources being diverted or used for malevolent purposes. Not so obvious is the issue of whether the new security measures are properly focused.
By Joel O. Lubenau with an introduction "Radioactive Source Security: Recent Developments" by Charles D. Ferguson.
May 27, 2003
- U.S. Efforts to Halt WMD Proliferation: Past Experience, Current Programs, and Future Priorities
Testimony by Clay Moltz
Subcommittees on Europe and on International Terrorism, Nonproliferation and Human Rights of the Committee on International Relations of the U.S. House of Representatives
May 14, 2003
- 2003 NPT Preparatory Committee: "Business as Usual?
The second session of the PrepCom thus far, similar to the first session, has progressed in a relatively smooth manner. Several issues have been highlighted, such as security assurances and non-strategic nuclear weapons, with working papers offering concrete and constructive proposals as food for thought. However, real progress and prospects for agreement remain questionable.
by Jean du Preez.
Created: May 7, 2003
- Security Assurances Against the Use or Threat of Use of Nuclear Weapons: Is Progress Possible at the NPT Prepcom?
The 2003 Preparatory Committee
(PrepCom) meeting for the 2005 Review Conference of the states parties to the
nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is meeting at the end of April amid
renewed fears over the use of nuclear weapons.
by Jean du Preez.
Created: April 24, 2003
- Challenges Facing the Nuclear Nonproliferation Regime
Workshop hosted by the Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies and Mountbatten Centre for International Studies, University of South Hampton.
Created: April 22, 2003
- The NPT and Its 2003 PrepCom Session: A Regime in Need of Intensive Care
by Tanya Ogilvie-White and John Simpson, from the upcoming issue of The Nonproliferation Review, Vol. 10, No. 1.
Created: April 22, 2003
- Study Details Steps To Reduce Dirty Bomb Threat
The interest of al Qaeda and other terrorist groups in radiological dispersal
devices (RDDs) has caused policymakers to seek new measures to ensure these
materials do not fall into the wrong hands.
Research Story of the Week by Charles D. Ferguson.
Week of January 13, 2003
- Nuclear & Missile Database
Information on nuclear technology, missile developments, and transactions between selected countries.
Updated regularly
- 2001 WMD Terrorism Chronology
By Adam Dolnik and Jason Pate.
This chronology covers incidents worldwide involving criminal or ideological motivations, including hoaxes and pranks.
Created: September 18, 2002
- "Dirty Bomb" Threat Awakens Dormant Disarmament Conference
"If an international institution's efficiency is
partly determined by its ability to respond to external shocks and
crises, the Jose Padilla controversy may help
revive the Geneva-based Conference on Disarmament (CD)."
Research Story of the Week by Daniil Kobyakov and Nicolas Florquin.
Created: August 28, 2002
- Plutonium Disposition
The United States and Russia pledged to eliminate excess weapons-grade plutonium in order to prevent its theft or diversion for illegal nuclear programs and to prevent its reincorporation into their weapons programs. Plutonium is of the greatest concern because only 8 kilograms are needed to make a nuclear bomb.
An issue brief by Elena Sokova for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Updated: July 2002
- Tactical Nuclear Weapons (TNW)
Though TNWs constitute a large percentage of the arsenals of the nuclear weapon states, TNWs are the
least-regulated category of nuclear weapons covered in arms control agreements.
An issue brief by Dr. Nikolai Sokov for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Created: May 2002
- The Real Sum of All Fears
An op-ed for the Los Angeles Times by William Potter and Leonard Spector.
Created: June 11, 2002
- Mini-Nuclear Weapons and the U.S. Nuclear Posture Review
Research Story of the Week by Charles D. Ferguson.
Created: April 8, 2002
- From Haber to Heisenberg and Beyond: The Role of Scientists in the Acquisition of WMD
Washington D.C. Office 2002 Briefing Series, March 26, 2002.
Created April 2, 2002
Top
Americas
- The Second Last Chance: American Power and Nuclear Nonproliferation
An article by William C. Potter for The Chronicle of Higher Education.
December 9, 2005
- Overcoming Impediments to U.S.-Russian Cooperation on Nuclear Non-Proliferation: Report of a Joint Workshop
A joint product of the U.S. National Academies (of which Dr. William Potter is a member) and the Russian Academy of Sciences.
March 13, 2004
- Congressional Debate on Nuclear Weapons Policy: From the Nuclear Brink to the Slippery Slope
While this year's congressional debates touched on major issues affecting U.S. nuclear policy, members of Congress have yet to delve into a
debate that really articulates what this policy should be. If such a debate occurred, it would probably not reach consensus.
Research Story of the Week by Charles D. Ferguson.
Week of October 27, 2003
- New Nuclear Weapons?
Will the United States produce newly designed nuclear weapons under the
Bush Administration? Over the next couple of years, the answer will likely be
"no." Recent activity, however, in Congress and the Administration
has raised concern that the prospect of new U.S. nuclear weapons has increased.
Research Story of the Week by Charles D. Ferguson and Peter D. Zimmerman.
Week of May 28, 2003
- Study Details Steps To Reduce Dirty Bomb Threat
The interest of al Qaeda and other terrorist groups in radiological dispersal
devices (RDDs) has caused policymakers to seek new measures to ensure these
materials do not fall into the wrong hands.
Research Story of the Week by Charles D. Ferguson.
Week of January 13, 2003
- Cuba's Accession to the NPT: A Step Toward Strengthening the Nuclear Nonproliferation Regime
On September 14, the Cuban Foreign Minister Felipe Perez Roque announced to the United Nations General Assembly that his
government will accede to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT)
and will ratify the Treaty for the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons in Latin America and the Caribbean (Treaty of Tlatelolco).
Research Story of the Week by Jean Du Preez.
Created: September 16, 2002
- Plutonium Disposition
The United States and Russia pledged to eliminate excess weapons-grade plutonium in order to prevent its theft or diversion for illegal nuclear programs and to prevent its reincorporation into their weapons programs. Plutonium is of the greatest concern because only 8 kilograms are needed to make a nuclear bomb.
An issue brief by Elena Sokova for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Updated: July 2002
- Renewed U.S. - Russian Controversy Over Nuclear Testing
The uncertainty over the nature of activities at the
Novaya Zemlya nuclear test site in northern Russia has frequently been a factor in U.S. government
decisions on stockpile stewardship and participation in international
treaties. The lack of transparency at the two countries' test sites has
contributed to mutual suspicions and calls by some parties in both countries for
the resumption of testing.
Research Story of the Week by Michael Jasinski, Cristina Chuen, and Charles Ferguson.
Created: May 27, 2002
- "START III": An End Or Beginning of Negotiations
"During their meeting on May 23-25, Presidents George W. Bush and
Vladimir Putin will sign a new agreement on the reduction of strategic offensive
weapons, often referred to -- especially in the Russian press -- as
'START III.'"
Research Story of the Week by Nikolai Sokov.
Created: May 14, 2002
Top
Middle East/Africa
- Is Syria a Candidate for Nuclear Proliferation?
An issue brief by Tariq Khaitous for the Nuclear Threat Initiative.
Created: March 27, 2008
- Egypt and Saudi Arabia's Policies toward Iran's Nuclear Program,
an issue brief by Tariq Khaitous for the Nuclear Threat Initiative.
Created: January 14, 2007
- Iranian Nuclear Program Remains Major Threat Despite Partial Freeze
Despite a December 3, 2007 U.S. National Intelligence Estimate assessment that Iran's "nuclear weapons program" was halted in 2003, serious concerns remain.
A CNS Research Story by Leonard S. Spector.
Created: December 6, 2007
- Iran Special Collection
Contains information on nuclear- and treaty-related issues.
Updated: December 6, 2007
- Israeli Airstrike in Syria: International Reactions
A comprehensive look at international reaction to Israel's September 6, 2007, air strike against a site in the Syrian desert, now widely
believed to have been a partially completed nuclear reactor.
A CNS Feature Story by guest author Richard Weitz.
Created: November 5, 2007
- Ahmadinejad Critics Take Leadership Position; Iran Enters Deal With International Atomic Energy Agency
an article by Khalid Hilal and Leah Kuchinsky for WMD Insights.
Created: October 8, 2007
- Uranium Smuggling Allegations Raise Questions Concerning Nuclear Security in the Democratic Republic of Congo,
an article by Peter Crail and Johan Bergenas for WMD Insights.
Created: April 3, 2007
- The Emerging Arab Response to Iran's Unabated Nuclear Program
An issue brief by Sammy Salama for the Nuclear Threat Initiative, December 22, 2006.
Created: December 22, 2006
- Israel's Nuclear Policies and a NWFZ in the Middle East: How Feasible Is It?
A report by Edith Bursac on a recent talk given by Dr. Zeev Maoz at CNS.
Created: November 15, 2006
- Iran's Nuclear Impasse: Give Negotiations A Chance
As direct negotiations between the United States and Iran may finally
materialize, it is critical to remember that armed conflict is both unnecessary
and would be mutually destructive.
A CNS Research Story by Sammy Salama and Elizabeth Salch.
Created: June 2, 2006
- Two CNS analysts, one from South Africa and one from Russia, give their perspectives on the Iranian nuclear crisis.
- International Reaction to the Iranian Nuclear Crisis
CNS has compiled a selection of commentaries on the detailing the viewpoints of various international
stakeholders in the current impasse over Iran's nuclear program.
Created: February 13, 2006
- Chronology of Key Events Related to the Implementation of IAEA Safeguards in Iran
The IAEA Board of Governors looks set to discuss the Iran nuclear issue at a meeting scheduled for February 2. CNS has prepared a detailed chronology of key events in the IAEA examination of the scope and nature of Iran's nuclear program from June 2003 to the present.
A CNS Research Story by the International Organizations and Nonproliferation Program.
Created: January 20, 2006
- Chart: Al-Qa`ida's WMD Activities
The following table provides a comprehensive listing of reports concerning al-Qa`ida's involvement with chemical, biological,
radiological and nuclear weapons in the period between 1997 and 2005.
Updated: April 22, 2005
Created: December 22, 2002
- IAEA Board Gives Iran Yet Another Chance
Despite repeated, strenuous attempts, the United States could not convince
the IAEA Board of Governors to establish an October 31 deadline to report Iran
to the Security Council for violating its nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)
obligations.
Research Story of the Week by Jean du Preez and María Lorenzo Sobrado.
Created: September 27, 2004
- A Preemptive Attack on Iran's Nuclear Facilities: Possible Consequences
There are reports that the Bush administration has seriously considered an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities but opted
to put it on the back burner for the time being.
A CNS Research Story by Sammy Salama and Karen Ruster.
Created: August 12, 2004
- IAEA Board Deplores Iran's Failure to Come into Full Compliance: Is Patience with Iran Running Out?
On Friday, June 18, 2004, the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) unanimously adopted a resolution reprimanding Iran for failing to act in full compliance with its international safeguards obligations.
An issue brief by Peter Crail and Jean du Preez for the Nuclear Threat Initiative.
Created: July 6, 2004
- Libya and Nonproliferation
On 19 December, Libya announced that it would halt its Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)
programs and eliminate any stockpiles of weapons or materials under full verification by the international community.
Before examining Libya's intentions and analyzing its potential implications, it is essential to review Libya's capabilities in the WMD realm.
CNS Research Story by Anjali Bhattacharjee and Sammy Salama.
Week of December 24, 2003
- Ambassador Ekéus Speaks at MIIS on Detecting WMD in Iraq
On November 14, 2003 in Irvine Auditorium, Ekéus, a former Swedish
ambassador to the United States, also discussed the lessons that emerged from 12
years of international efforts to uncover Iraq's weapon
programs.
Created: December 1, 2003
- IAEA's Resolution on Iran: A Troubling Past With a Hopeful Future?
The latest report by International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA) Director-General Mohamed ElBaradei, on the implementation of the NPT safeguards agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran,
provides both troubling and reassuring details on Iran's nuclear program.
Now includes the IAEA Resolution.
Updated: December 1, 2003
Created: November 14, 2003
- Russia's Nuclear and Missile Technology Assistance to Iran
Russian assistance for the Iranian
nuclear program has long been an irritant in the U.S.-Russian relations. The
revelations concerning Iran's hitherto unknown uranium enrichment efforts,
which propelled Iran's nuclear ambitions to the center of the
world's attention, added a new dimension to the controversy.
By Michael Jasinski.
Created: June 26, 2003
Iran Rebuked for Failing to Comply with IAEA Safeguards
The 35 member Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on 18 June 2003
fell short of declaring Iran in violation of it obligations under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
(NPT) and its IAEA safeguards agreement that stem from these obligations.
Research Story of the Week by Jean du Preez and Lawrence Scheinman.
Week of June 18, 2003
- Iran's Secret Quest for the Bomb
"At the upcoming June meeting of the UN's International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Washington wants the agency to declare Iran in material breach of its non-proliferation obligations."
An op-ed by Leonard S. Spector for the YaleGlobal online.
Created: May 20, 2003
- Iraq Special Collection
Focuses on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction and UNSCOM.
Updated: April 9, 2003
- Russian Nuclear Exports to Iran: U.S. Policy Change Needed
On March 29, the State Department is scheduled to report to Congress
on nuclear proliferation prevention in Iran.[1]
Part of the report is likely to focus on Russia's role in Iran's
nuclear development.
Research Story of the Week by Cristina Chuen.
Week of March 27, 2003
- Al-Qa`ida and Weapons of Mass Destruction
The world's media have reported no less than 56 separate incidents involving al-Qa`ida and WMD, 36 of which have come to light since September 2001.
Created: December 31, 2002
Top
NIS
- NIS Databases
The NIS databases contain an extensive collection of information on the nuclear industry
and on nonproliferation issues in the Newly Independent States of the former Soviet Union.
Updated regularly
- Reykjavik Summit: The Legacy and a Lesson for the Future
An issue brief by Nikolai Sokov for the Nuclear Threat Initiative.
Created: January 14, 2008
- The International Uranium Enrichment Center at Angarsk: A Step Towards Assured Fuel Supply?
An issue brief by Anya Loukianova for the Nuclear Threat Initiative.
Created: January 14, 2008
- Russian Military is Working to Enhance Precision Targeting and Early Warning Capabilities
An article by Nikolai Sokov for WMD Insights.
Created: December 6, 2007
- CNS Researcher Speaks on Nuclear Terrorism at Russian Duma
On September 27, an international seminar on Countering Nuclear and Radiological Terrorism was held at the Russian State Duma. CNS researcher Cristina Chuen provides an overview of the presentations and recommendations made at the event.
A CNS Research Story by Cristina Chuen.
Created: October 5, 2007
- Russian Nuclear-Powered Submarine Dismantlement and Related Activities: A Critique
A look at the development of the Strategic Master Plan for Northwest Russia (SMP), examining the perspectives that are informing
the choice of project priorities, transparency issues, coordination, timing, and cost-effectiveness.
A CNS Research Story by Cristina Hansell Chuen.
Created: May 24, 2007
- Russian Nuclear Industry Reforms: Consolidation and Expansion
On April 27, 2007, the Russian president signed a decree ordering the creation of Atomenergoprom, an integrated corporation that will be the basis for the consolidation of Russia's nuclear industry, as well as expansion plans both at home and abroad.
A CNS Research Story by Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova.
Created: May 22, 2007
- An Alleged "Nuclear Device" in Western Kazakhstan Is a Non-nuclear Installation
On 14 February 2007, Kazakh parliamentarian Tokhtar Aubakirov announced Kazakhstan still possessed a nuclear explosive device. However, the device is actually a research installation for high-pressure physics experiments.
A CNS Research Story by Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova.
Created: February 23, 2006
- Preventing the Next Chernobyl: The Item Missing from the St. Petersburg Summit
A CNS opinion piece by Dr. William Potter.
Created: July 18, 2006
- Two CNS analysts, one from South Africa and one from Russia, give their perspectives on the Iranian nuclear crisis.
- The Global Partnership and Submarine Dismantlement
Dismantlement of nuclear-powered submarines in Russia is a priority for the G8's Global Partnership project. The
following report outlines the current state of dismantlement efforts and recommendations.
CNS Research Story by Cristina Chuen.
June 8, 2004
- Overcoming Impediments to U.S.-Russian Cooperation on Nuclear Non-Proliferation: Report of a Joint Workshop
A joint product of the U.S. National Academies (of which Dr. William Potter is a member) and the Russian Academy of Sciences.
March 13, 2004
- "Suitcase Nukes:" Permanently Lost Luggage
Although the allegations of al-Qaeda buying nuclear weapons from Ukraine are apparently
groundless, it still seems advisable to continue closely monitoring the
situation surrounding portable nuclear devices.
CNS Research Story by Nikolai Sokov.
Created: February 13, 2004
- Russian Submarine Dismantlement Issues
Russia's decommissioned nuclear-powered submarines continue to present serious proliferation-related and environmental threats.
Without foreign support it would take Russia many years to handle the problem.
Research Story of the Week by Cristina Chuen.
Week of December 3, 2003
- Russian Ministry of Defense's New Policy Paper: The Nuclear Angle
In the end, the Ministry
of Defense seems to believe that nothing but military power can guarantee
Russia's security and interests, especially given the suspected propensity
of the United States for unilateral, often not fully logical military escapades.
A report by Nikolai Sokov.
Created: October 10, 2003
- Russia's Nuclear and Missile Technology Assistance to Iran
Russian assistance for the Iranian
nuclear program has long been an irritant in the U.S.-Russian relations. The
revelations concerning Iran's hitherto unknown uranium enrichment efforts,
which propelled Iran's nuclear ambitions to the center of the
world's attention, added a new dimension to the controversy.
By Michael Jasinski.
Created: June 26, 2003
- The Multilateral Nuclear Environmental Program in the Russian Federation (MNEPR)
After four years of negotiations, the Multilateral Nuclear Environmental Program in the Russian Federation (MNEPR) Framework Agreement was signed in Stockholm on May 21, 2003.
Report by Egil Tronstad and Cristina Chuen.
June 5, 2003
- The Duma Ratifies the Moscow Treaty
On May 14, 2003 the State Duma, the lower house of the Federal
Assembly (the Russian parliament), ratified the Strategic Offensive Reductions
Treaty (also known as SORT or the Moscow Treaty) by 294 votes against 134 with
22 abstaining.
Report by Nikolai Sokov.
May 16, 2003
- U.S. Efforts to Halt WMD Proliferation: Past Experience, Current Programs, and Future Priorities
Testimony by Clay Moltz
Subcommittees on Europe and on International Terrorism, Nonproliferation and Human Rights of the Committee on International Relations of the U.S. House of Representatives
May 14, 2003
- Little-Known Commercial Enterprise Poised to Take Over Russian Plutonium Disposition
Securing funds for plutonium disposition was a challenge for Russia from the beginning.
Research Story of the Week by Dauren Aben.
Week of April 21, 2003
- Russian Nuclear Exports to Iran: U.S. Policy Change Needed
On March 29, the State Department is scheduled to report to Congress
on nuclear proliferation prevention in Iran.[1]
Part of the report is likely to focus on Russia's role in Iran's
nuclear development.
Research Story of the Week by Cristina Chuen.
Week of March 27, 2003
- Russian Spent Nuclear Fuel
The Russian Ministry of Atomic Energy plans to commercially import, temporarily store, reprocess, and
repatriate spent nuclear fuel (material that has been withdrawn from a nuclear reactor following irradiation,
or SNF). Illegal until July 2001, opponents continue to protest against the project, and fight to amend Russian laws yet again.
An issue brief by Cristina Chuen for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Created: February 26, 2003
- Russian Responses to the North Korean Crisis
Russian responses to the crisis in North Korea (DPRK) have ranged from
strong concern about proliferation of nuclear weapons to sympathy for the North
Korean viewpoint.
Created: January 24, 2003
- Central Asian States Achieve Breakthrough on Nuclear Weapon-Free Zone Treaty
"In a major step strengthening the global nuclear nonproliferation regime, diplomats from Kazakhstan,
Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan have agreed on the text of
a treaty establishing a Central Asian nuclear weapon-free zone (CANWFZ)."
Research Story of the Week by Scott Parrish.
Week of September 30, 2002
- "Suitcase Nukes": A Reassessment
Attention to portable nuclear devices ("suitcase nukes") peaked in 1997-early 1998 following well-publicized allegations that an unknown number of these
weapons could not be accounted for. This paper assesses the threat that a number of them could
have fallen into the hands of terrorists or states that support them.
Research Story of the Week.
Week of September 23, 2002
- John Wolf Interview: Details on G-8 Global Partnership Against the Spread of WMD
On August 28, Assistant Secretary of State for Nonproliferation John Wolf spoke with CNS, regarding the agreement reached at
the June 26-27 Kananaskis G-8 Summit to launch a Global Partnership against the Spread of Weapons and Materials of Mass Destruction.
Research Story of the Week by Leonard Spector.
Week of September 9, 2002
- Ghost of Russia's K-19 Haunts Us
The K-19 is still with us, one of 190 decommissioned Soviet nuclear-powered submarines rusting at their piers.
As many as 100 of them still have nuclear fuel on board, risking a reactor incident or diversion of material for a terrorist radiation weapon or "dirty bomb."
An op-ed by Cristina Chuen for the Los Angeles Times.
Created: July 19, 2002
- Plutonium Disposition
The United States and Russia pledged to eliminate excess weapons-grade plutonium in order to prevent its theft or diversion for illegal nuclear programs and to prevent its reincorporation into their weapons programs. Plutonium is of the greatest concern because only 8 kilograms are needed to make a nuclear bomb.
An issue brief by Elena Sokova for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Updated: July 2002
- Russian Floating Nuclear Reactors - Proliferation Risks
For the past 10 years, high-ranking officials from Russia's Ministry of Atomic Energy (Minatom) and Rosenergoatom have been expressing unequivocal support for construction of floating nuclear power plants in remote areas of the Russian Far North and East. Construction of Russia's first floating nuclear power plants is moving ahead.
Research Story of the Week by Eduard Fesko.
Created: June 26, 2002
- Challenges in U.S.-Russian Cooperation
Paper by William C. Potter presented at the Conference on Cooperative Threat Reduction in the 21st Century, Oslo, Norway (June 1, 2002)
June 14, 2002
- Russian Exports of Sensitive Equipment and Technology
Testimony by Leonard S. Spector
Senate Governmental Affairs Committee
Subcommittee on International Security, Proliferation, and Federal Services
June 10, 2002
- Renewed U.S. - Russian Controversy Over Nuclear Testing
The uncertainty over the nature of activities at the
Novaya Zemlya nuclear test site in northern Russia has frequently been a factor in U.S. government
decisions on stockpile stewardship and participation in international
treaties. The lack of transparency at the two countries' test sites has
contributed to mutual suspicions and calls by some parties in both countries for
the resumption of testing.
Research Story of the Week by Michael Jasinski, Cristina Chuen, and Charles Ferguson.
Created: May 27, 2002
- "START III": An End Or Beginning of Negotiations
"During their meeting on May 23-25, Presidents George W. Bush and
Vladimir Putin will sign a new agreement on the reduction of strategic offensive
weapons, often referred to -- especially in the Russian press -- as
'START III.'"
Research Story of the Week by Nikolai Sokov.
Created: May 14, 2002
- Yadernoe Nerasprostranenie (Nuclear Nonproliferation)
A college-level Russian-language textbook, edited by Vladimir Orlov and CNS Senior Research Associate Nikolai Sokov, published 2000.
Created: May 1, 2002
- Workshop on Russian Nuclear Regionalism and U.S. Policy
On April 5, 2002, the Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS) at the Monterey Institute
of International Studies held a workshop in Washington, D.C., on the topic of "Russian 'Nuclear
Regionalism' and Challenges for U.S. Nonproliferation Assistance Programs."
Created: April 16, 2002
- Russian Military Violating Nuclear Safety and Inventory Rules by Shipping Damaged Fuel
Research Story of the Week.
Created: March 25, 2002
- Greater Attention Pledged to Russian Triad's Naval Leg
Research Story of the Week.
Created: March 4, 2002
- Illicit Nuclear Trafficking in the NIS
The events of September 11, 2001 have intensified concern that terrorist groups will attempt to steal weapons-useable
nuclear material in order to build a nuclear weapon. Although stocks of these materials—plutonium and highly-enriched uranium
(HEU)—exist in many countries around the world, the largest inventory in the world is held in the Newly Independent States
of the former Soviet Union (NIS). Owing to economic and political turmoil, this material is vulnerable to theft.
An issue brief by Scott Parrish for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Created: March 2002
- Russia to Lease Two Nuclear Submarines to India
Research Story of the Week.
Created: February 18, 2002
Top
East Asia
- Uranium Smuggling Case In China Raises Concern
an article by Stephanie Lieggi for WMD Insights.
Created: October 8, 2007
- The Mitutoyo Case: Will Japan Learn from its Mistakes or Repeat Them?
An issue brief by Stephanie Lieggi and Masako Toki for the Nuclear Threat Initiative.
Created: August 3, 2007
- North Korea Special Collection
North Korea Special Collection contains a new section on the nuclear crisis, material on the DPRK's nuclear and missile programs, a chronology of DPRK nuclear developments (1947-1999),
articles on the Agreed Framework, and a list of CNS experts on these issues.
Updated: April 19, 2006
- Back to the Future: U.S. adopting familiar approach to continuing North Korean defiance. [PDF format]
an op-ed by Daniel A. Pinkston for The Ripon Forum.
Created: April 19, 2007
- The North Korean Nuclear Test: Regional and International Implications [PDF format]
CNS experts took part in a panel discussion on the recent events on the Korean peninsula and what the future may hold for the international community and the nonproliferation regime.
A CNS Research Story
Created: October 16, 2006
- How Will the World React to a Nuclear North Korea?
Jing-dong Yuan speaks on NPR's Talk of the Nation, October 11.
Created: October 12, 2006
- CNS Analysis of North Korea Nuclear Test Claim [PDF format]
CNS experts report on the technical specifications of North Korea's test as well as initial reaction from the international community.
A CNS Research Story
Created: October 10, 2006
- Japan's Nuclear Cop-out
an op-ed by Masako Toki for the Asia Times.
Created: September 15, 2006
- Nuclear Threat Reduction and the Dynamics of Sino-U.S. Relations [PDF format]
An article by JD Yuan for the Journal of East Asian Affairs.
Created: August 21, 2006
- North Korea Claims South Plans to Produce Nuclear Submarine
An analysis by Daniel A. Pinkston for the WMD Insights.
Created: May 4, 2006
- North Korea's Nuclear Weapons Program and the Six-party Talks
An issue brief by Daniel A. Pinkston for the Nuclear Threat Initiative.
Created: May 4, 2006
- "Buying Energy, Not Bombs"
An op-ed by Andrew Diamond for the South China Morning Post.
Created: April 10, 2006
- Special Report on the Shutdown of North Korea's 5MW(e) Nuclear Reactor (PDF format)
According to Han Song Ryol, North Korean deputy ambassador to the United Nations,
North Korea plans to discharge the spent fuel and extract plutonium for bombs in order to
increase the country's "nuclear deterrent."
A CNS Research Story.
Created: April 28, 2005
- Special Report on the North Korean Nuclear Weapons Statement
On February 10, 2005, the North Korean Foreign Ministry issued a statement declaring
that North Korea possessed nuclear weapons and that the country would "increase its
nuclear arsenal to defend the ideas, system, freedom and democracy that were chosen by
the North Korean people."
A CNS Research Story.
Created: February 11, 2005
- South Korea's Nuclear Experiments
South Korea's experiments do not indicate a present and dedicated effort to
develop nuclear weapons, but could have broad implications given South Korea's
past nuclear weapons development program and the ongoing efforts to thwart North
Korea's nuclear ambitions.
CNS Research Story by Dan A. Pinkston.
November 9, 2004
- Bargaining Failure and the North Korean Nuclear Program's Impact on International Nonproliferation Regimes (PDF format)
An article by Dan A. Pinkston for the December issue of the KNDU Review.
February 26, 2003
- Controversy in Germany: Siemens Sale of MOX Plant to China
German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder held discussions with Chinese government and business
leaders about the proposed sale of a mothballed German mixed oxide (MOX) fuel fabrication plant to a Chinese nuclear company.
Research Story of the Week by Stephanie Lieggi.
Week of December 12, 2003
- What to Expect from the Six-Party Talks on the Korean Nuclear Crisis
On August 27-29, 2003, diplomats from the U.S., North Korea,
South Korea, Japan, Russia, and China will meet in Beijing for talks about the
nuclear crisis on the Korean Peninsula.
Research Story of the Week by Phillip Saunders.
Week of August 25, 2003
- Radioactive Cesium Seizure in Thailand: Riddled with Uncertainties
An eight-month old U.S.–Thailand coordinated endeavor culminated on June 13, 2003 with the arrest of
an individual in possession of radioactive cesium-137 – a substance that could fuel a radiological
dispersal device (RDD) – one type of which is more commonly known as a "dirty bomb."
Research Story of the Week by Alessandro Andreoni and Charles D. Ferguson.
Week of July 17, 2003
- Russian Policy on the North Korean Nuclear Crisis
Russia is highly concerned about the recent turn of events on the Korean Peninsula and what it perceives as the U.S. escalation of tensions over North Korea's nuclear and missile programs.
A report by Clay Moltz.
Created: May 5, 2003
- South Korean Electoral Politics and Seoul's Position on the North Korean Nuclear Crisis
If reports from the Beijing talks that North Korea possesses nuclear weapons are accurate, effective U.S. policy will require close coordination with South Korea and other countries.
Research Story of the Week by Daniel A. Pinkston.
Created: April 28, 2003
- Factsheet on North Korean Nuclear Reprocessing Statement
The statement was the first official comment by the DPRK about the upcoming trilateral
meetings between the United States, North Korea and China that are scheduled to
be held in Beijing the week of April 20th.
Created: April 18, 2003
- North Korea's Withdrawal From the NPT: A Reality Check
North Korea's withdrawal could trigger further defections from the treaty and cause other states in the region to pursue nuclear weapons of their own. Of equal concern is the potential for North Korea to sell weapons grade fissile material or nuclear weapons themselves to other states and non-state actors, including terrorist groups.
Research Story of the Week by Jean Du Preez and William Potter.
Created: April 9, 2003
- U.S. Must Rethink North Korea Strategy
"The U.S. must now consider an alternative strategy before time runs out."
An op-ed by Jing-Dong Yuan for The Japan Times.
Created: March 26, 2003
- N. Korea Talks Are Imperative
"The United States must anticipate intensified North Korean nuclear and missile brinkmanship once the fighting begins in Iraq. Starting negotiations now could prevent North Korean nuclear escalation and avoid the risk of fighting wars on two fronts."
An op-ed by William C. Potter and Phillip C. Saunders for the San Jose Mercury News.
Created: March 18, 2003
- Choices Are Narrowing to Meet the DPRK Nuclear Threat
"As North Korea accelerates its efforts to build new nuclear weapons, options for averting a tragic outcome are disappearing one by one."
An op-ed by Leonard S. Spector for the Chosun Ilbo.
Created: March 12, 2003
- Confronting Ambiguity: How to Handle North Korea's Nuclear Program
"There are growing divisions over how to deal with North Korea's nuclear weapons program."
An article by Phillip C. Saunders for Arms Control Today.
Created: March 4, 2003
- Military Options for Dealing with North Korea's Nuclear Program
This report explores some of the tactical issues
that would be involved in military strikes against North Korean nuclear
facilities and explains why an anonymous senior Bush administration official
concluded that although the United States has military options, "we don't
have good ones."
Created: January 27, 2003
- Russian Responses to the North Korean Crisis
Russian responses to the crisis in North Korea (DPRK) have ranged from
strong concern about proliferation of nuclear weapons to sympathy for the North
Korean viewpoint.
Created: January 24, 2003
- China and the North Korean Nuclear Crisis
China has increasingly become a hub of diplomatic activities as the international community seeks a way to defuse the
nuclear crisis. How China views the situation and responds to the crisis not
only has an important impact on the resolution of the current nuclear impasse,
but also reflects Beijing's fundamental interests in the future evolution
of the peninsula's peace and stability.
Created: January 22, 2003
- North Korea's Nuclear Program: Key Concerns
It is clear that the North Korean program has advanced to a stage where the possession of a small nuclear arsenal is within reach.
Updated: February 12, 2003
Created: January 17, 2003
- Assessing North Korea's Nuclear Intentions
North Korean leaders have strong incentives to conceal their true
intentions in order to maximize their bargaining power and to minimize
international reactions to their nuclear weapons program.
Created: January 14, 2003
- U.S. Fails to Heed N. Korea Advice
"The Bush administration would be wise to consult a prescient 1999 study that critiqued the
Clinton administration's approach toward Pyongyang. It's a study Richard Armitage
and Paul Wolfowitz seem to have forgotten -- even though they were among its principal authors."
An op-ed by William C. Potter for the San Jose Mercury News.
Created: January 14, 2003
- North Korea Pushed into Nuclear Standoff
"Pyongyang's nuclear weapons programme and its development of ballistic missiles have been driven
largely by its acute sense of vulnerability in what it perceives to be a deteriorating security
environment since the end of the Cold War."
An op-ed by Yuan Jing-Dong for the South China Morning Post.
Created: January 14, 2003
- CNS Experts Respond to the DPRK's Withdrawal from the NPT
On January 10th, the DPRK issued a statement that it would be withdrawing from the NPT.
Created: January 10, 2003
- Text of North Korea's Statement on NPT Withdrawal
On January 10th, the DPRK issued a statement that it would be withdrawing from the NPT.
Created: January 10, 2003
- Second Tier Proliferation: The Case of Pakistan and North Korea (PDF Format)
A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 9.3.
by Guarav Kampani
Created: Fall/Winter 2002
- North Korea Lifts the Freeze on Its Nuclear Program
The DPRK announced that it would lift the freeze on its nuclear facilities to generate
electricity, raising several questions regarding the
current status of its nuclear facilities and the timelines for
any diversion of nuclear materials to bomb fabrication.
Research Story of the Week by Daniel A. Pinkston.
Created: December 16, 2002
- North Korean Motivations for Developing Nuclear Weapons (PDF format)
"We must analyze the North Koreans' threat perceptions over the past half century to clearly understand their motivations for acquiring the bomb."
Created: October 30, 2002
- Nuclear Inspections and Brinksmanship
"The United States and its allies in East Asia are struggling to develop a strategy to address the growing threat posed by North Korea's nuclear weapons program."
An op-ed by Leonard S. Spector for the Chosun Ilbo, October 30, 2002.
Created: October 30, 2002
- When Did WMD Deals Between Pyongyang and Islamabad Begin?
According to press reports, the North Korean-Pakistani trade of missiles for highly enriched uranium
(HEU) technology occurred around 1997, which would coincide with Pyongyang's shipment of Nodong missiles to Pakistan.
Research Story of the Week by Daniel A. Pinkston.
Created: October 28, 2002
- Collapse of the Agreed Framework?
A White House spokesman declared that North Korea is in "material breach"
of the Agreed Framework, and the agreement could now be null
and void. It is too early to tell whether the Agreed Framework
can be resuscitated because the willingness of both
parties to negotiate a new deal is uncertain.
Research Story of the Week by Daniel A. Pinkston.
Created: October 21, 2002
- The U.S. Nuclear Posture Review and China's Responses
"The Chinese government accused the United States of "nuclear blackmail" and vowed not to bow to foreign nuclear threats."
Research Story of the Week.
Created: April 1, 2002
- The Status of North Korea's Nuclear Inspections
Research Story of the Week.
Created: February 26, 2002
Top
South Asia
- New Head of Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission Apparently Tied to 1980s Nuclear Smuggling
An analysis by Leonard S. Spector and Haider Nizamani for the WMD Insights.
Created: May 4, 2006
- Nonproliferation Issues Raised by U.S.-India Nuclear Deal
The March 2 agreement on US-India nuclear cooperation has raised a number of concerns that require further attention, especially with regards to its effect on the international nonproliferation regime.
A CNS Research Story.
Created: March 2, 2006
- Proliferation Unbound: Nuclear Tales from Pakistan
After years of blanket denials, Pakistan's government has finally admitted that during 1989-2003
Pakistani nuclear scientists and entities proliferated nuclear weapons-related technologies, equipment, and know how to Iran, North Korea, and Libya.
CNS Research Story by Gaurav Kampani.
Created: February 23
- Nuclear Watch—Pakistan: The Sorry Affairs of the Islamic Republic
An issue brief by Gaurav Kampani for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Created: January 15, 2003
- Second Tier Proliferation: The Case of Pakistan and North Korea (PDF Format)
A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 9.3.
by Guarav Kampani
Created: Fall/Winter 2002
- India's Compellance Strategy: Calling Pakistan's Nuclear Bluff Over Kashmir
"Islamabad's apparent decision to accept war termination in Kashmir on New Delhi's terms essentially implies that India may have finally called Pakistan's nuclear bluff over Kashmir."
Research Story of the Week by Gaurav Kampani.
June 10, 2002
- Placing the Indo-Pakistani Standoff in Perspective (PDF format)
by Gaurav Kampani
Created: April 8, 2002
- Russia to Lease Two Nuclear Submarines to India
Research Story of the Week.
Created: February 18, 2002
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